Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 29, 2023 at 6.45pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Benfica3 - 0Famalicao
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Benfica 4-1 AVS
Thursday, December 21 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga
Thursday, December 21 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 1-1 Estoril
Sunday, December 17 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, December 17 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Benfica 2-0 Famalicao
Benfica are carrying solid form into this match and will be full of confidence after securing three crucial wins on the bounce. The Eagles have been formidable at home this season, unbeaten to date, and we feel they will secure the points in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 70.21%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 11.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Famalicao |
70.21% ( -0.11) | 18.28% ( 0.06) | 11.51% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 47.15% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
