MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 16:19:27| >> :600:6035218:6035218:
Benfica
Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round
Nov 25, 2023 at 8.45pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Famalicao logo

Benfica
2 - 0
Famalicao

Riccieli (72' og.), Silva (77')
di Maria (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Youssouf (42'), Junior (77')
Otavio (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Taca de Portugal clash between Benfica and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Benfica 2-1 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, November 12 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Famalicao

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Camacha 0-5 Famalicao
Saturday, November 18 at 2.15pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Benfica 2-0 Famalicao

 Benfica were in excellent rhythm ahead of the international break, and they will be looking for a solid result here to build up some momentum before their crucial Champions League clash against Serie A leaders Inter Milan next week. We are backing the hosts to secure the victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 60.64%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 17.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.

Result
BenficaDrawFamalicao
60.64% (-0.07 -0.07) 22.26% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 17.1% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 48.87% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.11% (-0.1 -0.1)48.89% (0.102 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.02% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)70.99% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.33% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)15.68% (0.057 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.27% (-0.105 -0.1)44.73% (0.107 0.11)
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.95% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)42.05% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.52% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)78.48% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 60.63%
    Famalicao 17.1%
    Draw 22.26%
BenficaDrawFamalicao
1-0 @ 12.21% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 11.31%
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 6.99% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.06% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.2% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 60.63%
1-1 @ 10.58% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.59% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 22.26%
0-1 @ 5.71% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.47% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.32% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.23% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 17.1%

How you voted: Benfica vs Famalicao

Benfica
89.5%
Draw
10.5%
Famalicao
0.0%
19
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Mar 3, 2023 9.15pm
Gameweek 23
Benfica
2-0
Famalicao
Ramos (36', 90+3')
> Preview
Sep 10, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 6
Famalicao
0-1
Benfica
Silva (63')
> Preview
Apr 23, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 31
Benfica
0-0
Famalicao
Goncalves (34'), Weigl (78')
Pickel (32'), Marin (54'), Riccieli (54'), Rodrigues (89')
> Preview
Dec 12, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 14
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Rodrigues (25')
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> Preview
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