Regardless of how strong Schmidt opts to go with his starting XI, even a second or third-string Benfica side should comfortably thrash their fourth-tier opponents here. Lusitania will take encouragement from Benfica's recent struggles against lower-league opposition, but they will be completely out of their depth in this one and will just have to enjoy the occasion and remain hopeful of keeping the score down. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 92.79%. A draw had a probability of 5.5% and a win for Lusitania had a probability of 1.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-3 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (12.64%) and 0-2 (11.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.62%), while for a Lusitania win it was 1-0 (0.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Lusitania	Draw	Benfica
1.7% ( -0)	5.51% ( -0)	92.79% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 33.34% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

77.18% (

-0)

22.82% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

57.98% (

-0)

42.02% (

Lusitania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

34.23% (

-0.02)

65.76% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

6.67% (

-0)

93.33% (

0.01)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

97.4% (

2.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

87.91% (

12.09% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Lusitania 1.7%

Benfica 92.77%

Draw 5.51%

Lusitania	Draw	Benfica
Other @ 1.7% Total : 1.7%	1-1 @ 2.62% ( -0) 0-0 @ 1.71% 2-2 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 5.51%	0-3 @ 13.85% 0-4 @ 12.64% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 11.38% 0-5 @ 9.23% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.24% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.81% ( -0) 0-6 @ 5.61% ( 0) 1-4 @ 5.3% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.77% ( -0) 1-5 @ 3.87% ( -0) 0-7 @ 2.93% ( 0) 1-6 @ 2.35% ( -0) 0-8 @ 1.34% ( 0) 1-7 @ 1.23% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 3.92% Total : 92.77%