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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14
Dec 12, 2021 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho
Benfica

Famalicao
1 - 4
Benfica

Rodrigues (25')
Rodrigues (45+1'), Riccieli (74')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Nunez (6', 14', 56'), Silva (46')
Goncalves (3'), Weigl (74')

Preview: Famalicao vs. Benfica - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Famalicao and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Fresh off the back of sealing their place in the knockout stages of the Champions League, Benfica take a trip to the Estadio Municipal de Famalicao Stadium to square off against Famalicao.

The hosts, on the other hand, head into the game on a run of two consecutive Primeira Liga defeats and will be seeking to end this dry spell.


Match preview

Benfica's Gilberto celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates in August 2021© Reuters

Famalicao failed to return to winning ways last Sunday when they suffered a humbling 4-0 defeat against a rampant Gil Vicente side at the Estadio Cidade de Barcelos.

In a one-sided affair, Kanya Fujimoto, Fran Navarro and Murilo scored to put the Gilistas in a commanding three-goal lead heading into the interval before Navarro put the icing on the cake with his second of the game in the 76th minute.

This followed a 3-0 loss at the hands of Portimonense on November 27, when goals from Aylton Boa Morte, Carlinhos and an own goal from Alexandre Penetra saw their three-game unbeaten run come to an end.

With 10 points from 13 games, Famalicao are currently 14th in the Primeira Liga standings, level on points with Vizela and Santa Clara in the relegation playoff spot.

Their poor start to the season has been owing to their defensive frailties, as they have shipped 24 goals so far, and their struggles on home turf, where they are yet to pick up a win and boast the league's worst record with just three points from six games.

While Ivo Vieira's men will be seeking to end their poor run, next up is the stern test of taking the 37-time champions, who they have failed to defeat in each of the last six encounters between the teams, losing four and claiming two draws.

Benfica's Haris Seferovic celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates in January 2021© Reuters

Benfica, on the other hand, secured their place in the knockout stages of the Champions League last time out courtesy of a 2-0 win over Ukrainian outfit Dynamo Kyiv.

In a game where Jorge Jesus' men needed all three points to keep their faith in their hands, Roman Yaremchuk and Gilberto netted first-half goals to hand the Portuguese giants all three points.

Benfica now return home where they saw their four-game unbeaten streak come to an end courtesy of a 3-1 defeat at the hands of reigning champions Sporting Lisbon on December 3.

With 31 points from 13 games, As Aguias are currently third on the log, four points behind Sporting and Porto, who are level on points at the top of the table.

Jesus will now hope the win last time out can serve as a catalyst for a fine run of form as they look to unseat the Leoes and make a charge for their second title in three years.

Famalicao Primeira Liga form:
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L

Famalicao form (all competitions):
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L

Benfica Primeira Liga form:
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L

Benfica form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W


Team News

Benfica coach Jorge Jesus during the match on November 23, 2021© Reuters

Diogo Figueiras was hooked off after just 23 minutes against Gil Vicente last time out and the Portuguese defender is a major doubt for Famalicao.

After missing seven straight games through a muscle problem, Pedro Marques returned to the fold against the Gilistas as an unused substitute and the Portuguese forward could make his return to the pitch this weekend.

Fellow countryman David Tavares will play no part in Sunday's game as the 22-year-old midfielder is suspended due to accumulated yellow card bookings.

Meanwhile, As Aguias will take to the pitch without the services of the Brazilian duo of Lucas Verissimo and Rodrigo Pinho, who are currently recuperating from knee and muscle injuries respectively.

Serbian midfielder Nemanja Radonjic is also out of contention after sustaining an injury in the game against Pacos de Ferreira on November 19.

Famalicao possible starting lineup:
Junior; Figueiras, Penetra, Alex, Marin; Rodrigues, Pickel; Tavares, Paulo, Jaime; Banza

Benfica possible starting lineup:
Vlachodimos; Almeida, Otamendi, Vertonghen; Gilberto, Weigl, Mario, Grimaldo; Silva, Nunez, Pizzi


SM words green background

We say: Famalicao 0-3 Benfica

Both sides have enjoyed contrasting starts to the season, with Famalicao currently languishing just outside the relegation zone. Looking at the gulf in class and quality in the two sides, and their respective forms heading into the game, we are tipping Benfica to claim all three points.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Away Win:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 50.53%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 25.47% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.63%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 1-0 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Famalicao vs Benfica

Famalicao
8.3%
Draw
8.3%
Benfica
83.3%
24
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Benfica coach Jorge Jesus during the match on November 23, 2021
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1010003533230
2Porto109012742327
3Benfica97112461822
4Braga106221771020
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes105321210218
6Santa ClaraSanta Clara106041312118
7FamalicaoFamalicao10442129316
8MoreirenseMoreirense104241212014
9Casa Pia10334913-412
10Gil Vicente102441216-410
11BoavistaBoavista10235713-69
12Estoril PraiaEstoril10235816-89
13AVS10235919-109
14Rio AveRio Ave10235820-129
15Nacional9225613-78
16AroucaArouca10217619-137
17Estrela Amadora10136820-126
18SC FarenseFarense10118417-134


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