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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Chaves
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Nov 4, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Benfica

Chaves
0 - 2
Benfica


Ribeiro (25'), Lameiras (41'), Victor (75'), Langa (77'), Abass (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Aursnes (59'), Mario (80' pen.)
Otamendi (44'), Silva (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guimaraes 5-0 Chaves
Saturday, October 28 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 0-2 Benfica
Tuesday, October 31 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga

We said: Chaves 0-2 Benfica

With their victory over Arouca, Benfica have now won six of their last seven away matches across all competitions and will be backing themselves against a Chaves side who have struggled for form this season. Schmidt's side have enjoyed the better of this fixture, and given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, we are backing them to come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 70.11%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 12.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-3 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.72%), while for a Chaves win it was 2-1 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Benfica in this match.

Result
ChavesDrawBenfica
12.92% (-2.522 -2.52) 16.97% (-1.264 -1.26) 70.11% (3.78 3.78)
Both teams to score 56.72% (-2.349 -2.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.6% (0.26899999999999 0.27)33.4% (-0.277 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.82% (0.309 0.31)55.18% (-0.317 -0.32)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.01% (-3.228 -3.23)37.99% (3.22 3.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.24% (-3.263 -3.26)74.76% (3.257 3.26)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.47% (0.92 0.92)8.53% (-0.926 -0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.48% (2.223 2.22)29.52% (-2.229 -2.23)
Score Analysis
    Chaves 12.92%
    Benfica 70.11%
    Draw 16.97%
ChavesDrawBenfica
2-1 @ 3.74% (-0.591 -0.59)
1-0 @ 3.14% (-0.336 -0.34)
2-0 @ 1.52% (-0.317 -0.32)
3-2 @ 1.48% (-0.313 -0.31)
3-1 @ 1.21% (-0.319 -0.32)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 12.92%
1-1 @ 7.72% (-0.471 -0.47)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.505 -0.51)
0-0 @ 3.24% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.195 -0.2)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 16.97%
0-2 @ 9.82% (0.673 0.67)
1-2 @ 9.5% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-3 @ 8.06% (0.867 0.87)
0-1 @ 7.97% (0.223 0.22)
1-3 @ 7.8% (0.202 0.2)
0-4 @ 4.96% (0.719 0.72)
1-4 @ 4.8% (0.32 0.32)
2-3 @ 3.77% (-0.239 -0.24)
0-5 @ 2.44% (0.441 0.44)
1-5 @ 2.36% (0.249 0.25)
2-4 @ 2.32% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-5 @ 1.14% (0.027 0.03)
0-6 @ 1% (0.215 0.22)
1-6 @ 0.97% (0.139 0.14)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 70.11%

How you voted: Chaves vs Benfica

Chaves
0.0%
Draw
9.7%
Benfica
90.3%
31
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 28
Chaves
1-0
Benfica
Abass (90+4')
Oct 29, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 11
Benfica
5-0
Chaves
Neres (2'), Grimaldo (10'), Ramos (37'), Musa (81'), Silva (90+3')
Feb 25, 2019 9.15pm
Gameweek 23
Benfica
4-0
Chaves
Silva (19'), Felix (37'), Seferovic (43'), Jonas (90')
Silva (65'), Jonas (76'), Gabriel (87')

Maras (59'), Melo (75'), Campi (93')
Sep 27, 2018 8.15pm
Gameweek 6
Chaves
2-2
Benfica
Ghazaryan (75', 94')
Perdigao (21'), Marcao (30'), Djavan (82')
Silva (3', 84')
Gabriel (52')
Conti (87')
Jan 20, 2018 6.15pm
Benfica
3-0
Chaves
Jonas (12', 19'), Pizzi (47')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

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1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

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1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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