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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Chaves
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Nov 4, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Benfica

Chaves
0 - 2
Benfica


Ribeiro (25'), Lameiras (41'), Victor (75'), Langa (77'), Abass (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Aursnes (59'), Mario (80' pen.)
Otamendi (44'), Silva (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chaves

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 5-0 Chaves
Saturday, October 28 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Benfica

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 0-2 Benfica
Tuesday, October 31 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga

We said: Chaves 0-2 Benfica

 With their victory over Arouca, Benfica have now won six of their last seven away matches across all competitions and will be backing themselves against a Chaves side who have struggled for form this season. Schmidt's side have enjoyed the better of this fixture, and given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, we are backing them to come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 70.11%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 12.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-3 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.72%), while for a Chaves win it was 2-1 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Benfica in this match.

Result
ChavesDrawBenfica
12.92% (-2.522 -2.52) 16.97% (-1.264 -1.26) 70.11% (3.78 3.78)
Both teams to score 56.72% (-2.349 -2.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.6% (0.26899999999999 0.27)33.4% (-0.277 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.82% (0.309 0.31)55.18% (-0.317 -0.32)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.01% (-3.228 -3.23)37.99% (3.22 3.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.24% (-3.263 -3.26)74.76% (3.257 3.26)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.47% (0.92 0.92)8.53% (-0.926 -0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.48% (2.223 2.22)29.52% (-2.229 -2.23)
Score Analysis
    Chaves 12.92%
    Benfica 70.11%
    Draw 16.97%
ChavesDrawBenfica
2-1 @ 3.74% (-0.591 -0.59)
1-0 @ 3.14% (-0.336 -0.34)
2-0 @ 1.52% (-0.317 -0.32)
3-2 @ 1.48% (-0.313 -0.31)
3-1 @ 1.21% (-0.319 -0.32)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 12.92%
1-1 @ 7.72% (-0.471 -0.47)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.505 -0.51)
0-0 @ 3.24% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.195 -0.2)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 16.97%
0-2 @ 9.82% (0.673 0.67)
1-2 @ 9.5% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-3 @ 8.06% (0.867 0.87)
0-1 @ 7.97% (0.223 0.22)
1-3 @ 7.8% (0.202 0.2)
0-4 @ 4.96% (0.719 0.72)
1-4 @ 4.8% (0.32 0.32)
2-3 @ 3.77% (-0.239 -0.24)
0-5 @ 2.44% (0.441 0.44)
1-5 @ 2.36% (0.249 0.25)
2-4 @ 2.32% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-5 @ 1.14% (0.027 0.03)
0-6 @ 1% (0.215 0.22)
1-6 @ 0.97% (0.139 0.14)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 70.11%

How you voted: Chaves vs Benfica

Chaves
0.0%
Draw
9.7%
Benfica
90.3%
31
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 28
Chaves
1-0
Benfica
Abass (90+4')
> Preview
Oct 29, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 11
Benfica
5-0
Chaves
Neres (2'), Grimaldo (10'), Ramos (37'), Musa (81'), Silva (90+3')
> Preview
Feb 25, 2019 9.15pm
Gameweek 23
Benfica
4-0
Chaves
Silva (19'), Felix (37'), Seferovic (43'), Jonas (90')
Silva (65'), Jonas (76'), Gabriel (87')

Maras (59'), Melo (75'), Campi (93')
Sep 27, 2018 8.15pm
Gameweek 6
Chaves
2-2
Benfica
Ghazaryan (75', 94')
Perdigao (21'), Marcao (30'), Djavan (82')
Silva (3', 84')
Gabriel (52')
Conti (87')
Jan 20, 2018 6.15pm
Benfica
3-0
Chaves
Jonas (12', 19'), Pizzi (47')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Porto1411123392434
3Benfica1310213282432
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao144731715219
9Casa Pia144551317-417
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13Nacional13337817-912
14AVS142661122-1112
15Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
16BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
17AroucaArouca14329823-1511
18SC FarenseFarense14239720-139
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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