Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Nov 4, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Chaves0 - 2Benfica
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guimaraes 5-0 Chaves
Saturday, October 28 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, October 28 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 0-2 Benfica
Tuesday, October 31 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga
Tuesday, October 31 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga
We said: Chaves 0-2 Benfica
With their victory over Arouca, Benfica have now won six of their last seven away matches across all competitions and will be backing themselves against a Chaves side who have struggled for form this season. Schmidt's side have enjoyed the better of this fixture, and given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, we are backing them to come away with all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 70.11%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 12.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-3 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.72%), while for a Chaves win it was 2-1 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Benfica in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chaves | Draw | Benfica |
12.92% ( -2.52) | 16.97% ( -1.26) | 70.11% ( 3.78) |
| Both teams to score 56.72% ( -2.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.6% ( 0.27) | 33.4% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.82% ( 0.31) | 55.18% ( -0.32) |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.01% ( -3.23) | 37.99% ( 3.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.24% ( -3.26) | 74.76% ( 3.26) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.47% ( 0.92) | 8.53% ( -0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 70.48% ( 2.22) | 29.52% ( -2.23) |
| Score Analysis |
Chaves 12.92%
Benfica 70.11%
Draw 16.97%
| Chaves | Draw | Benfica |
| 2-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.59) 1-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.34)2-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.32)3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.31)3-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.32)Other @ 1.84% Total : 12.92% | 1-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.47) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.51)0-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.2% Total : 16.97% | 0-2 @ 9.82% ( 0.67) 1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 8.06% ( 0.87)0-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.22)1-3 @ 7.8% ( 0.2)0-4 @ 4.96% ( 0.72)1-4 @ 4.8% ( 0.32)2-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.24)0-5 @ 2.44% ( 0.44)1-5 @ 2.36% ( 0.25)2-4 @ 2.32% ( -0.04)2-5 @ 1.14% ( 0.03)0-6 @ 1% ( 0.22)1-6 @ 0.97% ( 0.14)Other @ 3.18% Total : 70.11% |
How you voted: Chaves vs Benfica
Chaves
0.0%Draw
9.7%Benfica
90.3%31
Form Guide
