Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 12, 2023 at 8pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Salzburg1 - 3Benfica
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rapid Vienna 0-1 Salzburg
Saturday, December 9 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Saturday, December 9 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
34
Last Game: Benfica 1-1 Farense
Friday, December 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, December 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Red Bull Salzburg 2-1 Benfica
Benfica have recently faltered in the Primeira Liga, and they do not tend to travel well in Europe. If Salzburg can secure an early lead, that could be enough to break the spirit of a side requiring an unlikely big win to leapfrog their hosts and snatch a Europa League place. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Red Bull Salzburg | Draw | Benfica |
28.6% ( -0.07) | 23.6% ( -0.03) | 47.81% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 59.55% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
