Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14
Dec 17, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Braga0 - 1Benfica
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Napoli 2-0 Braga
Tuesday, December 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Tuesday, December 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Salzburg 1-3 Benfica
Tuesday, December 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Tuesday, December 12 at 8pm in Champions League
We said: Braga 3-2 Benfica
With two of the best attacks in the league on display, this could end up being a goal fest. Braga have been scoring for fun in recent weeks, and while Benfica's league form has been average since the international break, they tend to show up in this fixture. We are expecting a very entertaining match here but feel that the hosts may just outscore The Eagles in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Braga had a probability of 37.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.74%) and 0-2 (5.33%). The likeliest Braga win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Benfica |
37.99% ( 2.68) | 23.61% ( -0.81) | 38.4% ( -1.86) |
| Both teams to score 63% ( 3.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.11% ( 4.19) | 38.89% ( -4.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.79% ( 4.28) | 61.21% ( -4.28) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.27% ( 3.28) | 20.72% ( -3.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.66% ( 4.91) | 53.34% ( -4.91) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.46% ( 0.93) | 20.53% ( -0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.96% ( 1.45) | 53.03% ( -1.45) |
| Score Analysis |
Braga 37.99%
Benfica 38.4%
Draw 23.6%
| Braga | Draw | Benfica |
| 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.27) 1-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.65)2-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.38% ( 0.54)3-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.51)3-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.27)4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.35)4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.31)4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.2)Other @ 2.9% Total : 37.99% | 1-1 @ 10.6% ( -0.71) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.39)0-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.9)3-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.31)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.6% | 1-2 @ 8.39% ( -0.31) 0-1 @ 6.74% ( -1.19)0-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.77)1-3 @ 4.43% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.3)0-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.31)1-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.15)0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.96% Total : 38.4% |
How you voted: Braga vs Benfica
Braga
56.7%Draw
10.0%Benfica
33.3%30
Head to Head
May 6, 2023 8.30pm
Feb 9, 2023 8.30pm
Dec 30, 2022 9.15pm
Apr 1, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 28
Braga
3-2
Benfica
