Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 12, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Arouca3 - 2Porto
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Portimonense 1-2 Arouca
Saturday, February 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, February 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 0-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, February 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, February 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Arouca 1-2 Porto
While Arouca are proving themselves no pushovers, Porto have regularly beaten their regional rivals in the past and are in the mood to release some frustration; following an unlucky draw and an abandoned match last week, a slim away win could be on the cards. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 65.71%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 13.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.12%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for an Arouca win it was 1-0 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | Porto |
13.94% ( -0.04) | 20.35% ( -0.02) | 65.71% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 47.61% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
