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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 12, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Porto

Arouca
3 - 2
Porto

Mujica (1'), Cristo (30' pen.), Jason (60')
Santos (39'), Jason (63'), Busquets (74')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Evanilson (9' pen.), Conceicao (86')
Cardoso (69'), Conceicao (88'), Wendell (88')
Cardoso (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-2 Arouca
Saturday, February 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 0-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, February 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Arouca 1-2 Porto

 While Arouca are proving themselves no pushovers, Porto have regularly beaten their regional rivals in the past and are in the mood to release some frustration; following an unlucky draw and an abandoned match last week, a slim away win could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 65.71%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 13.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.12%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for an Arouca win it was 1-0 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
AroucaDrawPorto
13.94% (-0.042 -0.04) 20.35% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 65.71% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 47.61% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.25% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)46.75% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.99% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)69.01% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.97% (-0.064 -0.06)45.03% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.04% (-0.052 -0.05)80.95% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.6% (0.016999999999996 0.02)13.39% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.68% (0.033999999999999 0.03)40.32% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 13.94%
    Porto 65.7%
    Draw 20.35%
AroucaDrawPorto
1-0 @ 4.81% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 3.86% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-0 @ 1.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
3-1 @ 1.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 13.94%
1-1 @ 9.67% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.03% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 3.88% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 20.35%
0-2 @ 12.18% (0.02 0.02)
0-1 @ 12.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.72% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 8.17% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.52% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-4 @ 4.11% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.6% (-0.004 -0)
0-5 @ 1.65% (0.006 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.32% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 65.7%

How you voted: Arouca vs Porto

Arouca
3.1%
Draw
8.2%
Porto
88.8%
98
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 4
Porto
1-1
Arouca
Evanilson (90+19')
Cardoso (26'), Evanilson (57'), Varela (58')
Cristo (84')
De Arruabarrena (63'), Montero (85'), Ramos (90+18')
> Preview
May 8, 2023 9.15pm
Gameweek 31
Arouca
0-1
Porto
Marcano (44')
> Preview
Jan 11, 2023 8.45pm
Round of 16
Porto
4-0
Arouca
Galeno (31'), Martinez (54', 57', 90+3')
Dec 28, 2022 9.15pm
Gameweek 14
Porto
5-1
Arouca
Otavio (1'), Taremi (18', 34', 50'), Opoku (70' og.)
Bruninho (75')
> Preview
Feb 6, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 21
Arouca
0-2
Porto

Kouassi (1'), Basso (45+3'), Moreira (61'), Silva (68'), Antony (90+10')
Vitinha (54'), Mbemba (57')
Conceicao (45+6'), Pepe (53'), Sanusi (75'), Marchesin (90+3'), Eustaquio (90+7')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica1512213782938
2Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
3Porto1512123692737
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes156542016423
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave154471526-1116
12Estrela Amadora154381324-1115
13Estoril PraiaEstoril153571224-1214
14AVS152761122-1113
15Nacional153481021-1113
16BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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