Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19

Jan 28, 2024 at 6pm UK

Estadio de Sao Luis

Farense
1 - 3
Porto

Duarte (59' pen.)
Silva (25')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Evanilson (35', 76'), Varela (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SC Farense

All competitions

Last Game: Casa Pia 1-3 Farense
Saturday, January 20 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Porto 5-0 Moreirense
Saturday, January 20 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

While Farense have been impressive this season, they have struggled against the league's big-hitters and their historical record in this contest does not bode well for their chances. Porto will know the importance of securing the points in this one, and we fancy them to get the job done fairly comfortably. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 67.1%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 12.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.6%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-0 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
SC Farense	Draw	Porto
12.9% ( 0)	20% ( 0)	67.1% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 45.88% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.47% (

0.01)

47.52% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.27% (

0.01)

69.73% (

-0.01)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.87% (

0.01)

47.13% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.42% (

0.01)

82.58% (

-0.01)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.78%

13.22% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.03% (

39.97% (

-0)

Score Analysis

SC Farense 12.9%

Porto 67.09%

Draw 20%

SC Farense	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 4.69% 2-1 @ 3.57% ( 0) 2-0 @ 1.76% 3-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.97% Total : 12.9%	1-1 @ 9.48% 0-0 @ 6.23% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.61% ( 0) Other @ 0.67% Total : 20%	0-2 @ 12.75% 0-1 @ 12.6% 1-2 @ 9.6% 0-3 @ 8.6% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.47% ( 0) 0-4 @ 4.35% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.27% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.76% 1-5 @ 1.33% 2-4 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.7% Total : 67.09%