Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Dec 23, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Do Dragao
Porto2 - 1Leixoes
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Porto
Monday, December 18 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Monday, December 18 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Leixoes 1-1 Setubal (3-4 pen.)
Saturday, October 21 at 5pm in Taca de Portugal
Saturday, October 21 at 5pm in Taca de Portugal
We said: Porto 3-0 Leixoes
Regardless of the team that Sergio Conceicao opts to field in this match, Porto should have more than enough class and depth in their side to dominate this match from the off. The visitors have failed to find the target in over 450 minutes of football, and we feel they will see that extended further in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 87.63%. A draw had a probability of 8.6% and a win for Leixoes had a probability of 3.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 4-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.02%), while for a Leixoes win it was 1-2 (1.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Leixoes |
87.63% ( -0.26) | 8.57% ( 0.17) | 3.79% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 44.18% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75% ( -0.44) | 25% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.08% ( -0.58) | 44.92% ( 0.58) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.34% ( -0.11) | 3.66% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 84.22% ( -0.36) | 15.78% ( 0.36) |
| Leixoes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.86% ( 0.02) | 54.14% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 12.64% ( 0.01) | 87.36% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Porto 87.63%
Leixoes 3.79%
Draw 8.57%
| Porto | Draw | Leixoes |
| 3-0 @ 11.95% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.84% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 9.88% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.08)1-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.13)5-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.06)6-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)7-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.06)5-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)7-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.91% Total : 87.63% | 1-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.52% Total : 8.57% | 1-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.34% Total : 3.79% |
How you voted: Porto vs Leixoes
Porto
71.4%Draw
14.3%Leixoes
14.3%14
Head to Head
Form Guide
