Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 21, 2023 at 5pm UK
Estadio do Mar
Leixoes1 - 1Setubal
FT
(aet)
(aet)
Bright (85' og.)
Zequinha (48'), Montez (96'), Nascimento (112')
Zequinha (48'), Montez (96'), Nascimento (112')
Setubal win 4-3 on penalties
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Leixoes and Vitoria de Setubal.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Setubal 0-1 Casa Pia
Thursday, January 12 at 7.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Thursday, January 12 at 7.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leixoes win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Vitoria de Setubal had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leixoes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Vitoria de Setubal win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%).
| Result | ||
| Leixoes | Draw | Vitoria de Setubal |
40.7% ( -0.05) | 26.44% | 32.86% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.19% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.48% ( 0.01) | 52.52% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.81% ( 0) | 74.18% ( -0.01) |
| Leixoes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.59% ( -0.02) | 25.41% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.77% ( -0.03) | 60.22% ( 0.03) |
| Vitoria de Setubal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.97% ( 0.03) | 30.02% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.85% ( 0.04) | 66.15% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
Leixoes 40.7%
Vitoria de Setubal 32.86%
Draw 26.43%
| Leixoes | Draw | Vitoria de Setubal |
| 1-0 @ 10.45% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.93% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.37% 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 40.7% | 1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 7.63% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 32.86% |
Form Guide
