Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17

Jan 12, 2024 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Portimao

Portimonense
1 - 0
Farense

Carlinhos (58' pen.)
Pedrao (18'), Carlinhos (69')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Caseres (39'), Delgado (73'), Muscat (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portimonense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Rio Ave 2-0 Portimonense
Sunday, January 7 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

SC Farense

All competitions

Last Game: Farense 1-0 Gil Vicente
Saturday, January 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Portimonense 1-1 SC Farense

Portimonense are in desperate need of a good result here to lift their spirits after a poor end to the year, but that will not be an easy feat against a Farense side that have been impressive upon their return to the top flight. This looks like a very even match on paper, and we feel there will be nothing to split these sides at the full-time whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portimonense in this match.

Result
Portimonense	Draw	SC Farense
42.84% ( -0.53)	24.98% ( 0.02)	32.18% ( 0.51)

Both teams to score 56.79% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.53% (

0.09)

46.48% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.25% (

0.08)

68.75% (

-0.08)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.31% (

-0.2)

21.7% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.15% (

-0.32)

54.85% (

0.32)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.52% (

0.37)

27.48% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.03% (

0.48)

62.97% (

-0.47)

Score Analysis

Portimonense 42.84%

SC Farense 32.18%

Draw 24.97%

Portimonense	Draw	SC Farense
1-0 @ 9.11% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 42.84%	1-1 @ 11.76% 0-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.97%	0-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.6% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.93% Total : 32.18%