Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14
Dec 17, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Moreirense5 - 2Portimonense
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-1 Moreirense
Monday, December 11 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Monday, December 11 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
15
Last Game: Portimonense 1-1 Famalicao
Saturday, December 9 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, December 9 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
14
We said: Moreirense 1-0 Portimonense
Moreirense have been excellent in their first season back in the top flight and are carrying all the momentum into this one, having last tasted defeat in mid-September. The hosts are likely to prioritise keeping a clean sheet here, and we feel they will go on to edge this one by a single goal. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 49.53%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 25.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Moreirense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Portimonense |
49.53% ( -1.54) | 25.29% ( 0.12) | 25.18% ( 1.42) |
| Both teams to score 51.14% ( 1.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
