Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11
Nov 11, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Portimao
Portimonense2 - 1Chaves
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Braga 6-1 Portimonense
Saturday, November 4 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, November 4 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
11
Last Game: Chaves 0-2 Benfica
Saturday, November 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, November 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Portimonense 2-1 Chaves
Fresh off the back of a humiliating defeat against Braga, Portimonense will head into the weekend looking to restore some pride. Sergio's men take on a Chaves side who have lost seven of their eight away matches across all competitions this season and we fancy them coming away with all three points, albeit by the odd goal. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portimonense in this match.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Chaves |
32.79% ( -0.06) | 27.2% ( -0.03) | 40.01% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 49.81% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.45% ( 0.11) | 55.55% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.28% ( 0.09) | 76.72% ( -0.09) |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.4% ( 0.01) | 31.6% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32% ( 0.02) | 68% ( -0.02) |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.81% ( 0.1) | 27.18% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.41% ( 0.13) | 62.59% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
Portimonense 32.79%
Chaves 40%
Draw 27.19%
| Portimonense | Draw | Chaves |
| 1-0 @ 9.9% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.43% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.85% 3-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0)Other @ 2.87% Total : 32.79% | 1-1 @ 12.88% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.19% | 0-1 @ 11.18% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.4% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.01% Total : 40% |
How you voted: Portimonense vs Chaves
Portimonense
83.3%Draw
16.7%Chaves
0.0%6
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2023 3.30pm
Sep 16, 2022 8.15pm
Jan 29, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 19
Portimonense
0-1
Chaves
Apr 22, 2018 4pm
Form Guide
