Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.