MX23RW : Sunday, February 16 12:40:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 30, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Farense logo

Estoril
4 - 0
Farense

Marques (4', 47'), Araujo (45+5'), Parra (78')
Carne (22'), Holsgrove (30')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Falcao (24'), Pastor (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Famalicao 1-1 Estoril
Sunday, December 17 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Farense 0-0 Estrela Amadora
Friday, December 15 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 1-1 SC Farense

Estoril's home advantage and recent form give them the edge in this match. However, Farense's defensive solidity, recent away performances and ability to frustrate could see them snatch a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 60.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 18.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 1-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-2 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawSC Farense
60.46% (-0.422 -0.42) 20.83% (0.147 0.15) 18.7% (0.278 0.28)
Both teams to score 56.69% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.95% (-0.222 -0.22)40.04% (0.224 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.59% (-0.231 -0.23)62.41% (0.234 0.23)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.15% (-0.19199999999999 -0.19)12.84% (0.195 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.8% (-0.392 -0.39)39.2% (0.395 0.39)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.04% (0.166 0.17)34.96% (-0.163 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.3% (0.172 0.17)71.7% (-0.16900000000001 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 60.46%
    SC Farense 18.7%
    Draw 20.83%
Estoril PraiaDrawSC Farense
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 9.46% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 9.21% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.8% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.47% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.49% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.32% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.83% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.43% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.36% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 60.46%
1-1 @ 9.68% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.49% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.83%
1-2 @ 5.09% (0.061000000000001 0.06)
0-1 @ 4.72% (0.07 0.07)
0-2 @ 2.48% (0.048 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.78% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 18.7%

How you voted: Estoril vs Farense

Estoril Praia
47.6%
Draw
42.9%
SC Farense
9.5%
21
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon22164259184152
2Benfica22162450183250
3Porto21134445182743
4Braga21134438201843
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara2212282523238
6Casa Pia229672928133
7Estoril PraiaEstoril228772834-631
8Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes217953025530
9MoreirenseMoreirense2275102833-526
10FamalicaoFamalicao2151062224-225
11Rio AveRio Ave216782335-1225
12AroucaArouca2266102134-1324
13Nacional2265112130-923
14Gil Vicente215792332-922
15Estrela Amadora2255121934-1520
16AVS213991631-1518
17SC FarenseFarense2136121330-1715
18BoavistaBoavista2226141437-2312


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