Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13
Dec 10, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Estoril4 - 0Chaves
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Estoril 3-1 Porto
Wednesday, December 6 at 6pm in Taca da Liga
Wednesday, December 6 at 6pm in Taca da Liga
Goals
for
for
20
Last Game: Chaves 2-1 Vizela
Friday, December 1 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, December 1 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Estoril Praia 2-1 Chaves
We anticipate a tight and entertaining encounter at the Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, given the stakes at the bottom end of the Primeira Liga table with crucial ground to be gained in the fight to move clear of the drop zone. While Chaves will certainly cause them problems going forward, Estoril Praia do have enough to prevail on home turf, and we fancy them to take all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Chaves |
39.13% ( -2.85) | 26.75% ( 0.47) | 34.12% ( 2.38) |
| Both teams to score 51.51% ( -0.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.47% ( -1.35) | 53.53% ( 1.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.96% ( -1.15) | 75.04% ( 1.14) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.27% ( -2.13) | 26.72% ( 2.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.01% ( -2.89) | 61.99% ( 2.89) |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.29% ( 0.89) | 29.7% ( -0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.24% ( 1.08) | 65.76% ( -1.08) |
| Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia 39.12%
Chaves 34.12%
Draw 26.74%
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Chaves |
| 1-0 @ 10.47% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.38)2-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.49)3-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.41)3-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.42)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.22)4-0 @ 1% ( -0.21)Other @ 2.16% Total : 39.12% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.41)2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.74% | 0-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.72) 1-2 @ 7.72% ( 0.32)0-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.57)1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.2)0-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.28)2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.42% Total : 34.12% |
How you voted: Estoril vs Chaves
Estoril Praia
33.3%Draw
44.4%Chaves
22.2%9
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 8.30pm
Oct 1, 2022 6pm
Sep 23, 2017 4pm
