Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21

Feb 11, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
2 - 2
Benfica

Silva (35' pen.), Silva (61')
Silva (9'), Gaspar (38'), Santos (73'), Oliveira (90+5')
Borevkovic (64')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Silva (40'), Cabral (90')
Kokcu (33'), Silva (44'), Luis (77'), Otamendi (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Guimaraes 3-1 Gil Vicente
Thursday, February 8 at 6.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Top scorers

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Vizela 1-2 Benfica
Thursday, February 8 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 1-2 Benfica

Vitoria de Guimaraes have put together a fine run of results and will head into the weekend with plenty of optimism as they look to end their dire record against Benfica. However, Schmidt's side boast the firepower needed to get this one over the line and we fancy them to claim all three points once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 53.71%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 22.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.75%) and 0-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-0 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Benfica
22.48% ( -0.13)	23.8% ( 0.04)	53.71% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 52.74% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.87% (

-0.28)

48.12% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.71% (

-0.26)

70.28% (

0.26)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.19% (

-0.28)

35.81% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.42% (

-0.29)

72.58% (

0.29)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.16% (

-0.07)

17.84% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.41% (

-0.12)

48.58% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 22.48%

Benfica 53.71%

Draw 23.79%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.9% Total : 22.48%	1-1 @ 11.3% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.79%	0-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 9.75% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.49% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 5.6% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.45% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.53% Total : 53.71%