MX23RW : Friday, June 21 05:33:48| >> :600:1535534:1535534:
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Taca de Portugal | Quarter-Finals
Feb 8, 2024 at 6.45pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Gil Vicente logo

Guimaraes
3 - 1
Gil Vicente

Silva (6'), Silva (11'), Silva (45+1')
Silva (81')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Costa (37')
Pereira (33'), Toure (78'), Pinto (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Taca de Portugal clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Gil Vicente
Sunday, February 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-1 Gil Vicente

While Gil Vicente did manage a hard-fought victory over this opponent just a couple of weeks ago, that victory came on their home patch, and they now have to head to Guimaraes, where Vitoria has been very good, currently holding the league's third-best record behind Sporting and Benfica. We are expecting a close encounter here but fancy the hosts to progress to the next round of the competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 54.7%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 21.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawGil Vicente
54.7% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04) 23.49% (0.012 0.01) 21.81% (0.034000000000002 0.03)
Both teams to score 52.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.43% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)47.57% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.22% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)69.77% (0.012 0.01)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.73% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)17.27% (0.020999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.4% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)47.6% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.85% (0.024999999999999 0.02)36.14% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.07% (0.024999999999999 0.02)72.93% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 54.7%
    Gil Vicente 21.81%
    Draw 23.49%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawGil Vicente
1-0 @ 10.96%
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 9.63% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.74% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 5.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.52% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.47% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 54.7%
1-1 @ 11.15%
0-0 @ 6.24% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.98% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.49%
0-1 @ 6.35% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.23% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.93% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 21.81%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Gil Vicente

Vitoria de Guimaraes
72.7%
Draw
18.2%
Gil Vicente
9.1%
44
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 19
Gil Vicente
1-0
Guimaraes
Dominguez (85')
Buta (49')

Gaspar (73'), Andre (82')
Aug 19, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 2
Guimaraes
2-1
Gil Vicente
Silva (62'), Luz (82')
Villanueva (69'), Silva (72'), Gaspar (90+8')
Baturina (55')
Gbane (40'), Marlon (44'), Pereira (90+7')
May 21, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 33
Guimaraes
1-0
Gil Vicente
Silva (90+3')
Luz (46'), Silva (50'), Silva (90+5')

Aouacheria (45+4'), Carvalho (90+12')
Jan 16, 2023 9.15pm
Gameweek 16
Gil Vicente
2-1
Guimaraes
Alipour (40'), Navarro (82')
Silva (17')
May 15, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 34
Guimaraes
5-0
Gil Vicente
Estupinan (20'), Lameiras (51'), Janvier (83'), Quaresma (84'), Duarte (90')
Silva (47')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 France France11003
3 Poland Poland10010
4 Austria Austria10010

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Slovakia Slovakia11003
3 Belgium Belgium10010
4 Ukraine Ukraine10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Turkey Turkey11003
2 Portugal Portugal11003
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic10010
4 Georgia Georgia10010


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!