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Vitoria de Guimaraes
Taca de Portugal | Quarter-Finals
Feb 8, 2024 at 6.45pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Gil Vicente logo

Guimaraes
3 - 1
Gil Vicente

Silva (6'), Silva (11'), Silva (45+1')
Silva (81')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Costa (37')
Pereira (33'), Toure (78'), Pinto (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Taca de Portugal clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Vizela 0-1 Guimaraes
Sunday, February 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Gil Vicente

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Gil Vicente
Sunday, February 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-1 Gil Vicente

 While Gil Vicente did manage a hard-fought victory over this opponent just a couple of weeks ago, that victory came on their home patch, and they now have to head to Guimaraes, where Vitoria has been very good, currently holding the league's third-best record behind Sporting and Benfica. We are expecting a close encounter here but fancy the hosts to progress to the next round of the competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 54.7%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 21.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawGil Vicente
54.7% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04) 23.49% (0.012 0.01) 21.81% (0.034000000000002 0.03)
Both teams to score 52.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.43% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)47.57% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.22% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)69.77% (0.012 0.01)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.73% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)17.27% (0.020999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.4% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)47.6% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.85% (0.024999999999999 0.02)36.14% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.07% (0.024999999999999 0.02)72.93% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 54.7%
    Gil Vicente 21.81%
    Draw 23.49%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawGil Vicente
1-0 @ 10.96%
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 9.63% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.74% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 5.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.52% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.47% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 54.7%
1-1 @ 11.15%
0-0 @ 6.24% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.98% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.49%
0-1 @ 6.35% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.23% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.93% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 21.81%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Gil Vicente

Vitoria de Guimaraes
72.7%
Draw
18.2%
Gil Vicente
9.1%
44
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 19
Gil Vicente
1-0
Guimaraes
Dominguez (85')
Buta (49')

Gaspar (73'), Andre (82')
> Preview
Aug 19, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 2
Guimaraes
2-1
Gil Vicente
Silva (62'), Luz (82')
Villanueva (69'), Silva (72'), Gaspar (90+8')
Baturina (55')
Gbane (40'), Marlon (44'), Pereira (90+7')
> Preview
May 21, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 33
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Gil Vicente
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> Preview
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Silva (17')
> Preview
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Silva (47')
> Preview
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