Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16

Jan 6, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Braga

Braga
1 - 1
Guimaraes

Carvalho (53')
Horta (70'), Carvalho (83')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mendes (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Casa Pia 1-3 Braga
Saturday, December 30 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Guimaraes 1-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, December 23 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Braga 2-1 Vitoria de Guimaraes

Both these sides' league forms have been very similar this season, and we are likely to see a level match unfold here. Braga's home form and scoring record has been excellent this season, though, which is why we feel that they may just edge this one by the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 54.71%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 22.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
Braga	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
54.71% ( -0)	22.29% ( -0.04)	22.99% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 58.4% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.07% (

0.2)

40.93% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.68% (

0.21)

63.32% (

-0.21)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.09% (

0.07)

14.91% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.71% (

0.14)

43.29% (

-0.14)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.64% (

0.14)

31.36% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.27% (

0.16)

67.73% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Braga 54.71%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 22.99%

Draw 22.29%

Braga	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.23% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.56% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.97% Total : 54.71%	1-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.29%	1-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.14% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 22.99%