Guimaraes1 - 0Rio Ave
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, December 16 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
for
Saturday, December 16 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
for
We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 3-1 Rio Ave
Vitoria Guimaraes have already shown this season that they are able to compete with the best on their day, as they did when they beat Sporting at this venue a couple of weeks ago. While Rio Ave have been difficult to beat lately, we feel that they will struggle to get anything from this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 53.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Rio Ave |
53.44% ( 0.04) | 24.16% ( -0.02) | 22.4% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.52% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.31% ( 0.08) | 49.68% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.3% ( 0.08) | 71.7% ( -0.07) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.48% ( 0.05) | 18.52% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.24% ( 0.08) | 49.75% ( -0.08) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.23% ( 0.03) | 36.76% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.45% ( 0.03) | 73.55% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 1-0 @ 11.48% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.68% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.25% Total : 53.44% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.15% | 0-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.75% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 1.75% Total : 22.4% |
