Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14

Dec 16, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio do Bessa Seculo XXI

Boavista
1 - 1
Guimaraes

Morais (90+3' pen.)
Makouta (13'), Agra (15'), Perez (49'), Abascal (57'), Malheiro (76'), Bozenik (80')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Silva (30')
Ribeiro (16'), Luz (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Boavista and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boavista

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Estrela Amadora 3-1 Boavista
Sunday, December 10 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Guimaraes 3-2 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, December 9 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Boavista 1-3 Vitoria de Guimaraes

Boavista are in all sorts of trouble at the moment, both on the pitch and behind the scenes, and a few more poor results could see them sucked into a relegation scrap before long. Vitoria, on the other hand, seem to have found a good patch of form and will be brimming with confidence after overcoming the league leaders last week. As a result, we feel the visitors will come away with the points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Boavista win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Boavista	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
33.51% ( 0)	26.67% ( 0.03)	39.82% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 51.63% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.69% (

-0.13)

53.31% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.14% (

-0.11)

74.85% (

0.1)

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70% (

-0.06)

29.99% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.89% (

-0.07)

66.1% (

0.07)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.75% (

-0.08)

26.24% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.64% (

-0.11)

61.35% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Boavista 33.51%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 39.81%

Draw 26.67%

Boavista	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 33.51%	1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.67%	0-1 @ 10.52% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.48% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.04% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 39.81%