Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20

Feb 4, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Do Vizela

Vizela
0 - 1
Guimaraes

Silva (45+4'), Goncalves (47'), Samu (71'), Lebedenko (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Silva (80')
Handel (14'), Silva (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Vizela and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vizela

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Arouca 5-0 Vizela
Sunday, January 28 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-0 Guimaraes
Sunday, January 28 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Vizela 0-2 Vitoria de Guimaraes

Vizela have endured a rough start to the new year and are in for another tough 90 minutes against a Guimaraes side who will be looking to bounce back from last weekend's loss to Gil Vicente. Pacheco's men have won six of the last eight meetings between the sides and we are backing them to come out on top once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 47.23%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Vizela win was 1-0 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result
Vizela	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
27.78% ( 0.07)	24.99% ( 0.02)	47.23% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 54.26% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.35% (

-0.05)

48.65% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.23% (

-0.05)

70.76% (

0.05)

Vizela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.37% (

0.03)

31.63% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.96% (

0.03)

68.04% (

-0.03)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.36% (

-0.06)

20.63% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.8% (

-0.1)

53.2% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Vizela 27.78%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 47.23%

Draw 24.98%

Vizela	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.78% Total : 27.78%	1-1 @ 11.85% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.98%	0-1 @ 10.3% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.36% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.92% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.28% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 47.23%