Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17

Jan 14, 2024 at 6pm UK

Estadio Do Vizela

Vizela
1 - 4
Boavista

Essende (88')
Pereira (45+1'), Essende (79')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Sasso (24'), Morais (40'), Abascal (52'), Bozenik (65')
Ferreira (18'), Bozenik (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Vizela and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vizela

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Vizela 1-0 Arouca
Wednesday, January 10 at 8pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Top scorers

Boavista

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Boavista 1-1 Porto
Friday, January 5 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ordinarily, we would make Boavista favourites to win this match, but the visitors are missing some key players due to injury, suspension, and international call-ups. They will also arrive in Vizela in desperately poor form. However, the hosts have also struggled to win in recent weeks, and they may settle for sharing the spoils. This would not be enough to move them out of the automatic relegation spots, but it may be viewed as another step in the right direction. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Vizela win was 1-0 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.

Result
Vizela	Draw	Boavista
35.73% ( 0.19)	26.89% ( -0.01)	37.38% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 51.26% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.07% (

0.03)

53.92% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.62% (

0.03)

75.37% (

-0.03)

Vizela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.1% (

0.13)

28.9% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.23% (

0.16)

64.77% (

-0.16)

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.09% (

-0.09)

27.9% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.48% (

-0.11)

63.52% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Vizela 35.73%

Boavista 37.38%

Draw 26.88%

Vizela	Draw	Boavista
1-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.73%	1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.88%	0-1 @ 10.29% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.15% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 37.38%