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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 14, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Do Vizela
Boavista

Vizela
1 - 4
Boavista

Essende (88')
Pereira (45+1'), Essende (79')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Sasso (24'), Morais (40'), Abascal (52'), Bozenik (65')
Ferreira (18'), Bozenik (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Vizela and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vizela 1-0 Arouca
Wednesday, January 10 at 8pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Boavista 1-1 Porto
Friday, January 5 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vizela 1-1 Boavista

Ordinarily, we would make Boavista favourites to win this match, but the visitors are missing some key players due to injury, suspension, and international call-ups. They will also arrive in Vizela in desperately poor form. However, the hosts have also struggled to win in recent weeks, and they may settle for sharing the spoils. This would not be enough to move them out of the automatic relegation spots, but it may be viewed as another step in the right direction. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Vizela win was 1-0 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.

Result
VizelaDrawBoavista
35.73% (0.185 0.19) 26.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 37.38% (-0.181 -0.18)
Both teams to score 51.26% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.07% (0.030999999999999 0.03)53.92% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.62% (0.027999999999999 0.03)75.37% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Vizela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.1% (0.128 0.13)28.9% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.23% (0.159 0.16)64.77% (-0.16 -0.16)
Boavista Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.09% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)27.9% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.48% (-0.114 -0.11)63.52% (0.112 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Vizela 35.73%
    Boavista 37.38%
    Draw 26.88%
VizelaDrawBoavista
1-0 @ 10.01% (0.023 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.93% (0.027 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.21% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.28% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.57% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.02% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 35.73%
1-1 @ 12.77%
0-0 @ 8.06% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.88%
0-1 @ 10.29% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.15% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.57% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.47% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.79% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 37.38%

How you voted: Vizela vs Boavista

Vizela
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Boavista
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Apr 17, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 28
Vizela
1-1
Boavista
Rashid (87')
Njie (71')
Oct 30, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 11
Boavista
2-2
Vizela
Watai (4'), Njie (78' pen.)
Pereira (6'), Zohi (28')
Feb 6, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 21
Boavista
2-2
Vizela
Hamache (57' pen.), Musa (70')
Abascal (9'), Perez (9'), Ferreira (28'), Makouta (90'), De Santis (90+7')
Santos (49')
Samu (26', 68')
Cassiano (35'), Juliao (54'), Ofori (66'), Anderson (80'), Claudemir (90+3'), Silva (90+9')
Aug 28, 2021 3.30pm
Gameweek 4
Vizela
1-1
Boavista
Kouao (74')
Paulo (37'), Samu (56'), Neiva Afonso (82')
Sauer (51')
Perez (36'), Bracalli (90+4'), Musa (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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