Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34

May 15, 2022 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio D Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
5 - 0
Gil Vicente

Estupinan (20'), Lameiras (51'), Janvier (83'), Quaresma (84'), Duarte (90')
Silva (47')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 1-1 Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente head into the weekend as slight favourites as they are unbeaten in five of the last six meetings between the sides since 2014. However, we predict the hosts will do just enough to force a share of the spoils and end the season unbeaten in five straight games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Gil Vicente
44.39% ( -0.34)	25.1% ( 0.03)	30.5% ( 0.3)

Both teams to score 55.6% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.32% (

0.01)

47.68% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.12% (

0.01)

69.87% (

-0.01)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.51% (

-0.15)

21.49% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.47% (

-0.23)

54.53% (

0.22)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.82% (

0.21)

29.18% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.88% (

0.26)

65.12% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 44.39%

Gil Vicente 30.5%

Draw 25.1%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Gil Vicente
1-0 @ 9.64% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 44.39%	1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.1%	0-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.52% Total : 30.5%