Taca de Portugal | Quarter-Finals
Feb 29, 2024 at 4pm UK
Estadio de Sao Miguel
Santa Clara1 - 2Porto
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Santa Clara 1-1 Nacional (4-2 pen.)
Thursday, January 11 at 6pm in Taca de Portugal
Thursday, January 11 at 6pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-1 Porto
Sunday, February 25 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, February 25 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Santa Clara 1-3 Porto
Santa Clara have punched above their weight in the cup so far, but going head-to-head against Porto represents a tough ask regardless. We are tipping the visitors to come out on top in a relatively comfortable manner. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 49.36%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 24.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.76%) and 1-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 1-0 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Porto |
24.05% ( 3.97) | 26.58% ( 0.79) | 49.36% ( -4.76) |
| Both teams to score 46.35% ( 2.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.58% ( 0.77) | 57.42% ( -0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.77% ( 0.6) | 78.23% ( -0.61) |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.47% ( 4.47) | 39.53% ( -4.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.78% ( 3.91) | 76.21% ( -3.91) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.65% ( -1.75) | 23.35% ( 1.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.69% ( -2.62) | 57.31% ( 2.62) |
| Score Analysis |
Santa Clara 24.05%
Porto 49.36%
Draw 26.58%
| Santa Clara | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.76) 2-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.88)2-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.77)3-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.45)3-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.27)3-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.35)Other @ 1.41% Total : 24.05% | 1-1 @ 12.46% ( 0.51) 0-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.27)2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.45)Other @ 0.69% Total : 26.58% | 0-1 @ 13.42% ( -1.14) 0-2 @ 9.76% ( -1.4)1-2 @ 9.06% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 4.74% ( -0.97)1-3 @ 4.4% ( -0.29)2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.12)0-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.46)1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.2)Other @ 2.62% Total : 49.36% |
How you voted: Santa Clara vs Porto
Santa Clara
14.9%Draw
4.5%Porto
80.6%67
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 8.30pm
Oct 29, 2022 3.30pm
Apr 4, 2022 8.15pm
Form Guide
