Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23

Feb 25, 2024 at 6pm UK

Estadio Cidade de Barcelos

Gil Vicente
1 - 1
Porto

Luciano (90+4')
Toure (52'), Pinto (75'), Luciano (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Evanilson (55')
Mario (45+10'), Evanilson (45'), Conceicao (45'), Varela (45+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Estoril 1-3 Gil Vicente
Sunday, February 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Porto 1-0 Arsenal
Wednesday, February 21 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Gil Vicente 1-3 Porto

While Gil Vicente will be looking to pick up where they left off against Estoril, they face a bogey Porto side whom they have failed to get the better of in 18 of their last 20 meetings. Given the gulf in class and quality between the two teams, we are backing the visitors to come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 56.12%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 21.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Gil Vicente	Draw	Porto
21.06% ( 0.03)	22.82% ( 0)	56.12% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 53.94% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.43% (

0.03)

45.57% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.1% (

0.03)

67.9% (

-0.03)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.26% (

0.05)

35.73% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.49% (

0.05)

72.51% (

-0.05)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.94% (

-0)

16.05% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.57% (

-0)

45.42% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Gil Vicente 21.07%

Porto 56.11%

Draw 22.81%

Gil Vicente	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 5.9% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.04% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.91% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 21.07%	1-1 @ 10.79% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.81%	0-1 @ 10.49% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.88% 0-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.02% 0-3 @ 5.85% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.1% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.75% 0-4 @ 2.68% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.42% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.01% 0-5 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 56.11%