Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22

Feb 18, 2024 at 6pm UK

Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota

Estoril
1 - 3
Gil Vicente

Marques (46')
Vital (25'), Seabra (26'), Marques (57')
Gomes (65')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pereira (59'), Correia (69'), Alipour (90+6')
Pereira (37'), Toure (51'), Correia (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Boavista 2-1 Estoril
Saturday, February 10 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-1 Vizela
Tuesday, February 13 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Estoril Praia 2-1 Gil Vicente

With just one point separating Estoril and Gil Vicente at the bottom end of the table, we expect both sides to go all out in search of all three points. The Gilistas' form on the road has been nothing to write home about in the league and we are backing Seabra's men to claim a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	Gil Vicente
45.57% ( 0.61)	24.54% ( 0.14)	29.89% ( -0.75)

Both teams to score 57.16% (

-0.91)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.51% (

-1)

45.49% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.18% (

-0.96)

67.82% (

0.96)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.94% (

-0.14)

20.06% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.71% (

-0.23)

52.29% (

0.23)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.5% (

-1)

28.5% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.73% (

-1.27)

64.27% (

1.28)

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 45.58%

Gil Vicente 29.89%

Draw 24.53%

Estoril Praia	Draw	Gil Vicente
2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.91% Total : 45.58%	1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.24) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.53%	1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.67% Total : 29.89%