MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 08:50:32| >> :600:3426602:3426602:
Braga
Taca da Liga | Final
Jan 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio Dr. Magalhaes Pessoa
Estoril

Braga
1 - 1
Estoril

Horta (20')
Fonte (5'), Djalo (22'), Horta (64')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cassiano (6' pen.)
Araujo (37'), Fernandes (43'), Pina (45+1'), Guitane (62'), Figueira (83'), Marques (90+5')
Braga win 5-4 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Taca da Liga clash between Braga and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braga 1-0 Sporting Lisbon
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Benfica 1-1 Estoril (4-5 pen.)
Wednesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in Taca da Liga

We said: Braga 2-1 Estoril Praia

Given the stakes of Saturday's encounter, we expect a thrilling contest, with both sides having a go at each other for the cup glory. While we expect Estoril to put up a fight, Braga boast a more experienced and superior squad and we see them coming out on top once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 68.21%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 14.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.95%) and 3-1 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-2 (4.07%).

Result
BragaDrawEstoril Praia
68.21%17.36%14.42%
Both teams to score 59.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.42%31.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.93%53.06%
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.52%8.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.62%29.38%
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.32%34.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.59%71.4%
Score Analysis
    Braga 68.21%
    Estoril Praia 14.42%
    Draw 17.36%
BragaDrawEstoril Praia
2-1 @ 9.48%
2-0 @ 8.95%
3-1 @ 7.8%
3-0 @ 7.37%
1-0 @ 7.25%
4-1 @ 4.81%
4-0 @ 4.55%
3-2 @ 4.13%
4-2 @ 2.55%
5-1 @ 2.38%
5-0 @ 2.24%
5-2 @ 1.26%
6-1 @ 0.98%
6-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 68.21%
1-1 @ 7.68%
2-2 @ 5.02%
0-0 @ 2.94%
3-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 17.36%
1-2 @ 4.07%
0-1 @ 3.11%
2-3 @ 1.77%
0-2 @ 1.65%
1-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 14.42%

How you voted: Winner SF1 vs Winner SF2

Winner Semi-final 1
77.8%
Draw
5.6%
Winner Semi-final 2
16.7%
18
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 12
Braga
3-1
Estoril
Horta (31'), Banza (51'), Carne (90' og.)
Fonte (26'), Moutinho (76')
Guitane (24')
Pina (42'), Feltes (67')
Apr 8, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 27
Braga
4-1
Estoril
Ruiz (17'), Pizzi (70'), Medeiros (82' pen.), Mendes (90+4')
Eduardo (48')
Oct 22, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 10
Estoril
0-2
Braga
Elmusrati (10'), Oliveira (31')
Apr 18, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 30
Estoril
0-0
Braga
Gamboa (90')
Dec 5, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 13
Braga
2-0
Estoril
Horta (34', 39')
Oliveira (13'), Silva (15'), Mineiro (20'), Gorby (81'), Silva (90+6')
Mineiro (65')

Fonte (49'), Soria (57'), Baro (71')
rhs 2.0
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