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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Famalicao logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 18, 2024 at 6.45pm UK
Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho
Braga

Famalicao
1 - 2
Braga

Cadiz (62' pen.)
Otavio (27'), Chiquinho (64'), Cadiz (76'), Soares (90+13')
Assuncao (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Borja (73'), Djalo (90+11')
Carvalho (21'), Pizzi (26'), Moutinho (89'), Borja (90+12'), Ruiz (90+13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Primeira Liga clash between Famalicao and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Famalicao

All competitions
Last Game: Casa Pia 0-2 Famalicao
Saturday, January 13 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Braga

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-0 Braga
Sunday, January 14 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Famalicao 1-2 Braga

 While form has not been great in 2024 for Braga, this is an excellent opportunity for them to return to winning ways, but defensive issues may mean it will be closer than they would prefer. Famalicao took advantage to beat an underwhelming Casa Pia side last weekend and will almost certainly find it tougher here despite familiar surroundings, and may well suffer a narrow defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Braga had a probability of 37.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Braga in this match.

Result
FamalicaoDrawBraga
37.85%24.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 37.58% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.33% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.36% (0.020000000000003 0.02)43.64% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.97% (0.018000000000001 0.02)66.04% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.09% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)22.91% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.34% (0.012 0.01)56.67% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.95% (0.012 0.01)23.05% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.13% (0.016999999999996 0.02)56.87% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Famalicao 37.85%
    Braga 37.58%
    Draw 24.57%
FamalicaoDrawBraga
2-1 @ 8.41%
1-0 @ 7.78% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 5.73% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.13%
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.82%
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 37.85%
1-1 @ 11.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.28% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.48% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.57%
1-2 @ 8.38%
0-1 @ 7.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.69% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 3.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.5% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.11%
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 37.58%

How you voted: Famalicao vs Braga

Famalicao
17.8%
Draw
13.3%
Braga
68.9%
45
Head to Head
Aug 11, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 1
Braga
1-2
Famalicao
Horta (9')
Borja (83'), Zalazar (83'), Djalo (90+5'), Saatci (90+8')
De Oliveira Rodrigues (67'), Aranda Subiela (90+5')
Youssouf (7'), Assuncao (73'), Junior (81'), Cadiz (88')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 19
Braga
4-1
Famalicao
Mihaj (22' og.), Banza (79'), Bruma (90+1', 90+3')
Sanca (71')
> Preview
Aug 12, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 2
Famalicao
0-3
Braga

Batubinsika (25'), De La Fuente (90+3'), Sa (90+5')
Sequeira (13'), Banza (18', 79')
Silva (45+1')
> Preview
May 15, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 34
Famalicao
3-2
Braga
Banza (43', 89'), Rodrigues (80')
Pickel (12'), Pepe (38'), Banza (90')
Riccieli (90+6')
Horta (1'), Oliveira (19')
Elmusrati (12'), Carmo (35'), Tormena (59')
Carmo (90+6')
> Preview
Jan 9, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 17
Braga
2-2
Famalicao
Horta (13'), Gonzalez (90')
Elmusrati (9'), Oliveira (68')
Rodrigues (24')
Lima (31'), Rodrigues (81')
Pickel (48'), Banza (68'), Rodrigues (78'), Brazao (88')
> Preview
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Porto1512123692737
2Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
3Benfica1411213482635
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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