Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18

Jan 18, 2024 at 6.45pm UK

Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho

Famalicao
1 - 2
Braga

Cadiz (62' pen.)
Otavio (27'), Chiquinho (64'), Cadiz (76'), Soares (90+13')
Assuncao (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Borja (73'), Djalo (90+11')
Carvalho (21'), Pizzi (26'), Moutinho (89'), Borja (90+12'), Ruiz (90+13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Primeira Liga clash between Famalicao and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Famalicao

All competitions

Last Game: Casa Pia 0-2 Famalicao
Saturday, January 13 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Porto 2-0 Braga
Sunday, January 14 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

While form has not been great in 2024 for Braga, this is an excellent opportunity for them to return to winning ways, but defensive issues may mean it will be closer than they would prefer. Famalicao took advantage to beat an underwhelming Casa Pia side last weekend and will almost certainly find it tougher here despite familiar surroundings, and may well suffer a narrow defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Braga had a probability of 37.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Braga in this match.

Result
Famalicao	Draw	Braga
37.85%	24.58% ( -0)	37.58% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 59.33% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.36% (

0.02)

43.64% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.97% (

0.02)

66.04% (

-0.02)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.09% (

0.01)

22.91% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.34% (

0.01)

56.67% (

-0.01)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.95% (

0.01)

23.05% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.13% (

0.02)

56.87% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Famalicao 37.85%

Braga 37.58%

Draw 24.57%

Famalicao	Draw	Braga
2-1 @ 8.41% 1-0 @ 7.78% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.73% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.13% 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.82% 4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 37.85%	1-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.57%	1-2 @ 8.38% 0-1 @ 7.75% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.69% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.1% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.78% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.11% 0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 37.58%