Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16

Jan 7, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho

Famalicao
2 - 2
Chaves

Fonseca (33'), Chiquinho (40')
Cadiz (29'), Pedro Silva (30'), Sa (43'), Nathan (45')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Hernandez (23' pen.), Ribeiro (56')
Phete (39'), Rodrigues (51'), Silva (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Famalicao and Chaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Famalicao

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Famalicao
Friday, December 29 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Chaves

All competitions

Last Game: Porto 1-0 Chaves
Friday, December 29 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

While Famalicao have failed to win any of their last five matches heading into this one, it is worth noting that two of those games were against Benfica, and another was at home to Porto. The other two matches in that run ended level, and Fama have generally been good at getting results against the sides at the bottom of the league this season. With two of the worst attacks in the league on display here, this could be a bit of a slow-burner, but we fancy the hosts to come away with the points at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 46.79%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 27.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Famalicao	Draw	Chaves
46.79% ( 0.3)	26.16% ( -0.4)	27.05% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 50.1% (

1.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.17% (

1.56)

53.82% (

-1.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.71% (

1.29)

75.29% (

-1.3)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.01% (

0.81)

22.98% (

-0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.22% (

1.18)

56.78% (

-1.18)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.05% (

0.92)

34.94% (

-0.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.31% (

0.96)

71.69% (

-0.96)

Score Analysis

Famalicao 46.78%

Chaves 27.05%

Draw 26.15%

Famalicao	Draw	Chaves
1-0 @ 11.8% ( -0.45) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.88% Total : 46.78%	1-1 @ 12.41% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.5) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.15%	0-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.11% Total : 27.05%