Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 13, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Campo do Cevadeiro
We said: Casa Pia 2-1 Famalicao
Famalicao cannot seem to buy a win right now and have been conceding with regularity in recent weeks. On the other hand, based on their performances over the last month, it feels as though something positive is brewing for Casa Pia under new leadership, and they will be determined to start the first of their back-to-back home games with three points. We are backing the hosts to come out on top in this one.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 36.85% . A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 35.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.2% .
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (6.54%) . The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (10.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%) . The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
Result Casa Pia Draw Famalicao 35.98% ( -0) 27.17% ( -0.02) 36.85% ( 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.37% ( 0.07)
44.95% ( 0.08) 55.05% ( -0.09)
23.69% ( 0.07) 76.31% ( -0.07)
70.71% ( 0.04) 29.29% ( -0.04)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 34.74% ( 0.05) 65.25% ( -0.05)
71.23% ( 0.05) 28.76% ( -0.06)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 35.39% ( 0.06) 64.6% ( -0.07)
Casa Pia 35.98%
Famalicao 36.84%
Draw 27.17%
Casa Pia Draw Famalicao 1-0 @ 10.34% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.6% 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 35.98% 1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.17% 0-1 @ 10.49% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.03% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.54% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.72% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 36.84%
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-26 10:13:57
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