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Braga
Taca da Liga | Semi-Finals
Jan 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio Dr. Magalhaes Pessoa
Sporting Lisbon

Braga
1 - 0
Sporting Lisbon

Ruiz (65')
Moutinho (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Quaresma (15'), Gyokeres (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Taca da Liga clash between Braga and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Taca da Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 1-2 Braga
Thursday, January 18 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Taca da Liga
Last Game: Vizela 2-5 Sporting Lisbon
Thursday, January 18 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 1-3 Sporting Lisbon

 While Braga will be looking to reach the cup final, they have their work cut out against a Sporting Lisbon side who are currently firing on all cylinders. Amorim's men are unbeaten in their last four games against the hosts and we are backing them to come out on top once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 47.24%. A win for Braga had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Braga win was 2-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
BragaDrawSporting Lisbon
29.19% (-2.379 -2.38) 23.56% (-0.356 -0.36) 47.24% (2.742 2.74)
Both teams to score 60.09% (-0.135 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.57% (0.425 0.42)41.43% (-0.419 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.17% (0.428 0.43)63.82% (-0.422 -0.42)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.08% (-1.318 -1.32)26.92% (1.324 1.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.75% (-1.763 -1.76)62.25% (1.77 1.77)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.23% (1.281 1.28)17.77% (-1.274 -1.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.53% (2.161 2.16)48.46% (-2.155 -2.16)
Score Analysis
    Braga 29.19%
    Sporting Lisbon 47.24%
    Draw 23.56%
BragaDrawSporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 7.12% (-0.389 -0.39)
1-0 @ 6.28% (-0.366 -0.37)
2-0 @ 4.12% (-0.407 -0.41)
3-1 @ 3.11% (-0.296 -0.3)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-0 @ 1.8% (-0.254 -0.25)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.14 -0.14)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 29.19%
1-1 @ 10.84% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-2 @ 6.15% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.78% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.56%
1-2 @ 9.37% (0.234 0.23)
0-1 @ 8.26% (0.18 0.18)
0-2 @ 7.14% (0.436 0.44)
1-3 @ 5.4% (0.346 0.35)
0-3 @ 4.11% (0.406 0.41)
2-3 @ 3.54% (0.1 0.1)
1-4 @ 2.33% (0.237 0.24)
0-4 @ 1.78% (0.239 0.24)
2-4 @ 1.53% (0.103 0.1)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 47.24%

How you voted: Braga vs Sporting Lisbon

Braga
20.9%
Draw
11.6%
Sporting Lisbon
67.4%
86
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 4
Braga
1-1
Sporting Lisbon
Djalo (78')
Niakate (45+4'), Jorge (45+6'), Carvalho (83')
Jorge (90+3')
Goncalves (25')
Gyokeres (27'), Morita (33'), Amorim (40'), Inacio (90'), Goncalves (90'), Diomande (90+4')
> Preview
Feb 1, 2023 9.15pm
Gameweek 18
Sporting Lisbon
5-0
Braga
Morita (9', 46'), Edwards (61'), Reis (86'), Goncalves (90+3' pen.)
> Preview
Dec 19, 2022 8.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Sporting Lisbon
5-0
Braga
Inacio (4'), Paulinho (7'), Goncalves (20' pen.), Trincao (41'), Edwards (45+4' pen.)
Aug 7, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 1
Braga
3-3
Sporting Lisbon
Banza (14'), Niakate (45+1'), Ruiz (88')
Niakate (22'), Elmusrati (24')
Goncalves (9'), Santos (18'), Edwards (83')
Nunes (68'), Goncalves (74')
> Preview
Jan 22, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 19
Sporting Lisbon
1-2
Braga
Goncalves (24')
Sarabia (45'), Coates (51'), Nunes (90+1')
Galeno (52' pen.), Gorby (90+7')
Castro (57'), Ruiz (90+2'), Hornicek (90+7'), Magalhaes (90+9')
> Preview
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