Taca da Liga | Semi-Finals
Jan 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio Dr. Magalhaes Pessoa
Braga1 - 0Sporting Lisbon
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Famalicao 1-2 Braga
Thursday, January 18 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga
Thursday, January 18 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 2-5 Sporting Lisbon
Thursday, January 18 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga
Thursday, January 18 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Braga 1-3 Sporting Lisbon
While Braga will be looking to reach the cup final, they have their work cut out against a Sporting Lisbon side who are currently firing on all cylinders. Amorim's men are unbeaten in their last four games against the hosts and we are backing them to come out on top once again. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 47.24%. A win for Braga had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Braga win was 2-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
29.19% ( -2.38) | 23.56% ( -0.36) | 47.24% ( 2.74) |
Both teams to score 60.09% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.57% ( 0.42) | 41.43% ( -0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.17% ( 0.43) | 63.82% ( -0.42) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.08% ( -1.32) | 26.92% ( 1.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.75% ( -1.76) | 62.25% ( 1.77) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.23% ( 1.28) | 17.77% ( -1.27) |