Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Feb 21, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Do Dragao
Porto1 - 0Arsenal
The Match
Match Report
Galeno's injury-time wonder strike sees Porto defeat Arsenal 1-0 in the first leg of their Champions League last-16 showdown.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash between Porto and Arsenal.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Porto and Arsenal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Wednesday's Champions League last-16 clash with Porto.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League last-16 first leg with Porto.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Porto 2-0 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, February 17 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, February 17 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Burnley 0-5 Arsenal
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Porto in this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Arsenal |
| 43.05% | 25.52% ( 0) | 31.43% |
| Both teams to score 54.65% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
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