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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Mar 15, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Portimonense

Estoril
1 - 0
Portimonense

Cassiano (53')
Basso (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Carlinhos (4'), Ventura (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Benfica 3-1 Estoril
Sunday, March 10 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 0-3 Porto
Friday, March 8 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 1-1 Portimonense

Both teams head into a true six-pointer without any momentum or confidence, and given the high stakes we anticipate a cagey encounter which may end in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 51.3%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawPortimonense
51.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 23.24% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 25.46% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.01% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.24% (0.018999999999998 0.02)42.76% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.84% (0.020000000000003 0.02)65.16% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)16.74% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.33% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)46.66% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.67% (0.019000000000005 0.02)30.32% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.49% (0.021999999999998 0.02)66.51% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 51.3%
    Portimonense 25.46%
    Draw 23.24%
Estoril PraiaDrawPortimonense
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.11% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 5.76% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.83% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.44% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.58%
4-0 @ 2.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.54% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 51.3%
1-1 @ 10.82%
2-2 @ 5.77% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 5.08% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.24%
1-2 @ 6.46% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 6.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.61%
1-3 @ 2.57% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 25.46%

How you voted: Estoril vs Portimonense

Estoril Praia
55.0%
Draw
45.0%
Portimonense
0.0%
20
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 9
Portimonense
1-0
Estoril
Pedrao (31')
Carlinhos (21'), Varela (33'), Relvas (36'), Dener (58'), Silvestre (70'), Tornich (76')

Tavares (7'), Carlos (90+9')
Apr 15, 2023 3.30pm
Oct 30, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 11
Portimonense
1-1
Estoril
Junior (88' pen.)
Erison (22')
Mar 12, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 26
Estoril
2-0
Portimonense
Mboula (29'), Geraldes (46')
Ferraresi (57'), Franco (84'), Rosier (90+3')

Da Costa (36'), Sa (55'), Junior (90')
Oct 24, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 9
Portimonense
0-2
Estoril

Junior (62')
Franco (59'), Lourenco (72')
Soria (68'), Gamboa (84'), Lourenco (85')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon77002522321
2Porto6501123915
3Benfica6411124813
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara6402108212
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes640265112
6FamalicaoFamalicao632183511
7Braga632184411
8MoreirenseMoreirense622289-18
9Gil Vicente614167-17
10Casa Pia621358-37
11Rio AveRio Ave621358-37
12AVS6213610-47
13AroucaArouca620438-56
14Estoril PraiaEstoril7133410-66
15BoavistaBoavista612337-45
16Nacional6114412-84
17Estrela Amadora602439-62
18SC FarenseFarense6006213-110


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