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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Portimonense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 8, 2024 at 6.45pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Portimao
Porto

Portimonense
0 - 3
Porto


Costa (13'), Carrillo (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gonzalez (7'), Galeno (59'), Pepe (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portimonense 0-0 Vizela
Sunday, March 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 5-0 Benfica
Sunday, March 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Portimonense 0-3 Porto

With plenty of renewed confidence in their camp following the recent beating of Benfica, and the chance to narrow the gap to the top two, Porto should have far too much for the struggling hosts, and we see them putting up another dominant victory on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 70.57%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 11.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.08%) and 0-3 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
PortimonenseDrawPorto
11.08% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 18.35% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 70.57% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.48% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.06% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)44.94% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.71% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)67.29% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.38% (0.0020000000000024 0)48.62% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.32% (0.0010000000000012 0)83.68% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.51% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)11.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.66% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)36.34% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Portimonense 11.08%
    Porto 70.56%
    Draw 18.35%
PortimonenseDrawPorto
1-0 @ 4.03% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-1 @ 3.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 1.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 11.08%
1-1 @ 8.72% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 5.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 3.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 18.35%
0-2 @ 13.07%
0-1 @ 12.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 9.43% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 9.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 6.8% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 5.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 3.68% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-5 @ 2.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-5 @ 1.59% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 70.56%

How you voted: Portimonense vs Porto

Portimonense
13.5%
Draw
16.2%
Porto
70.3%
37
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 8
Porto
1-0
Portimonense
Evanilson (9')
Carmo (16'), Varela (32'), Gonzalez (81')
Carmo (83')

Victor Tornich (60'), Guga (65'), Relvas (69'), Dener (77'), Amorim (87'), Carlinhos (90+1'), Sergio (90+6')
Apr 2, 2023 8.30pm
Oct 8, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 9
Portimonense
0-2
Porto
Otavio (22'), Pepe (52')
Apr 16, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 30
Porto
7-0
Portimonense
Taremi (19', 34' pen., 47'), Grujic (28'), Evanilson (40', 60'), Pepe (55')

Aponza (81'), Da Costa (84')
Dec 3, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 13
Portimonense
0-3
Porto

Portugal (45+4'), Luquinhas (59'), Willyan (77')
Sa (45+3' og.), Vitinha (70'), Otavio (75')
Uribe (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica1512213782938
2Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
3Porto1512123692737
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes156542016423
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave154471526-1116
12Estrela Amadora154381324-1115
13Estoril PraiaEstoril153571224-1214
14AVS152761122-1113
15Nacional153481021-1113
16BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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