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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 9, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa
Portimonense

Estrela Amadora
3 - 0
Portimonense

Carlinhos (6' og.), Jaba (13'), Nakamura (25' og.)
Lima (28'), Varela (42'), Luiz (89'), Reis (89')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Ventura (23'), Dener (38'), Sergio (45+7'), Pedrao (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estoril 1-0 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, February 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-2 Arouca
Saturday, February 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estrela Amadora 0-1 Portimonense

Devoid of confidence, Estrela Amadora find themselves in the midst of a rut, and while they will fight desperately to avoid being cut adrift, we see the visitors having enough to take all three points with slightly more quality across the pitch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Estrela AmadoraDrawPortimonense
34.31% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05) 26.19% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 39.5% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Both teams to score 53.36% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.82% (0.062999999999995 0.06)51.18% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.98% (0.056000000000001 0.06)73.02% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.56% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)28.43% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.81% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)64.19% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.56% (0.066000000000003 0.07)25.44% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.74% (0.091999999999999 0.09)60.26% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Estrela Amadora 34.31%
    Portimonense 39.5%
    Draw 26.19%
Estrela AmadoraDrawPortimonense
1-0 @ 9.1% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.72% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.28% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.4% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 34.31%
1-1 @ 12.45% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.23% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.19%
0-1 @ 9.9% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.52% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.78% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.89% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.45% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.33% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 39.5%

How you voted: Estrela Amadora vs Portimonense

Estrela Amadora
23.5%
Draw
11.8%
Portimonense
64.7%
17
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 4
Portimonense
1-1
Estrela Amadora
Dener (38')
Mauricio (16'), Pedrao (66'), Dener (74')
Pereira Martins (14')
Genezio (10'), Vieira (11'), Tavares (24'), Ndour (73'), Omorwa (77'), Pereira Martins (80'), Kikas (90+5')
Jul 23, 2023 8.30pm
First Round
Portimonense
3-1
Estrela Amadora
Amorim (6' pen.), Carrillo (62'), Carlinhos (82' pen.)
Carlinhos (33'), Seck (73'), Silvestre da Costa (74'), Mauricio (90+4')
Tavares (58')
Mansur (1'), Lopes (5'), Carlos Silva Reis (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Porto1411123392434
3Benfica1310213282432
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao144731715219
9Casa Pia144551317-417
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13Nacional13337817-912
14AVS142661122-1112
15Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
16BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
17AroucaArouca14329823-1511
18SC FarenseFarense14239720-139


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