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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 25, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Do Vizela
Estoril

Vizela
3 - 3
Estoril

Essende (26', 36'), Lebedenko (90+5')
Essende (26'), Pereira (88'), Lebedenko (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Marques (83'), Zanocelo (85'), Guitane (90+3')
Mangala (16'), Figueira (90+5'), Tavares (90+3'), Parra (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Vizela and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Benfica 6-1 Vizela
Sunday, February 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 1-3 Gil Vicente
Sunday, February 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vizela 1-1 Estoril Praia

Vizela and Estoril Praia find themselves at the wrong end of the table and we expect them to go all out in search of all three points. However, we predict that both sides will cancel out each other's efforts and settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.79%) and 0-2 (5.78%). The likeliest Vizela win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
VizelaDrawEstoril Praia
37.25% (1.024 1.02) 24.55% (0.241 0.24) 38.21% (-1.263 -1.26)
Both teams to score 59.42% (-0.806 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.48% (-1.078 -1.08)43.52% (1.08 1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.08% (-1.069 -1.07)65.92% (1.071 1.07)
Vizela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.84% (0.054000000000002 0.05)23.17% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.96% (0.076000000000001 0.08)57.04% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.33% (-1.101 -1.1)22.67% (1.104 1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.69% (-1.667 -1.67)56.32% (1.671 1.67)
Score Analysis
    Vizela 37.25%
    Estoril Praia 38.21%
    Draw 24.54%
VizelaDrawEstoril Praia
2-1 @ 8.34% (0.147 0.15)
1-0 @ 7.68% (0.369 0.37)
2-0 @ 5.62% (0.278 0.28)
3-1 @ 4.06% (0.078 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.74% (0.139 0.14)
4-1 @ 1.49% (0.031 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 37.25%
1-1 @ 11.39% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 6.19% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-0 @ 5.25% (0.245 0.25)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.54%
1-2 @ 8.46% (-0.144 -0.14)
0-1 @ 7.79% (0.114 0.11)
0-2 @ 5.78% (-0.108 -0.11)
1-3 @ 4.19% (-0.215 -0.22)
2-3 @ 3.06% (-0.152 -0.15)
0-3 @ 2.86% (-0.152 -0.15)
1-4 @ 1.55% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-4 @ 1.06% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 38.21%

How you voted: Vizela vs Estoril

Vizela
50.0%
Draw
35.0%
Estoril Praia
15.0%
20
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 6
Estoril
2-2
Vizela
Guitane (53'), Vital (67')
Vital (47')
Essende (62'), Saint-Louis (90+11')
Lacava (37'), Saint-Louis (90+11')
Mar 4, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 23
Estoril
0-3
Vizela
Osmajic (15'), Joaozinho (41' og.), Silva (83')
Sep 12, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 6
Vizela
0-1
Estoril
Erison (28')
Apr 2, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 28
Estoril
1-2
Vizela
Acevedo (35')
Xavier (88'), Silva (90+6')
Bondoso (16', 63')
Mendez (73'), Claudemir (90+3')
Nov 6, 2021 3.30pm
Gameweek 11
Vizela
1-1
Estoril
Samu (53')
Zag (28'), Afonso (90+4')
Clovis (68')
Acevedo (50'), Joaozinho (87'), Ferraresi (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Porto1411123392434
3Benfica1310213282432
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao144731715219
9Casa Pia144551317-417
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13Nacional13337817-912
14AVS142661122-1112
15Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
16BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
17AroucaArouca14329823-1511
18SC FarenseFarense14239720-139


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