Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 10, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Benfica3 - 1Estoril
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Benfica 2-2 Rangers
Thursday, March 7 at 8pm in Europa League
Thursday, March 7 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Estoril 1-3 Guimaraes
Saturday, March 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, March 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
40
We said: Benfica 2-0 Estoril Praia
Both of their previous meetings this season have been closely contested, but considering Benfica are in the hunt to win the league at the business end of the season they will be looking to be a little more ruthless. The gulf in class between the two teams should ultimately lead to the Eagles taking all three points here, particularly considering Estoril's poor away form. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 82.4%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 6.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.82%) and 4-0 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.32%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-2 (1.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Estoril Praia |
82.4% ( -0.39) | 11.46% ( 0.23) | 6.14% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 49.05% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.56% ( -0.58) | 28.43% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.72% ( -0.72) | 49.28% ( 0.71) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.91% ( -0.17) | 5.08% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 79.77% ( -0.52) | 20.23% ( 0.52) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.68% ( -0) | 48.32% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.53% ( -0) | 83.46% |
| Score Analysis |
Benfica 82.38%
Estoril Praia 6.14%
Draw 11.46%
| Benfica | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 2-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 10.82% 4-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.09)2-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 7.87% ( -0)1-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0)6-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.06)5-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.03)7-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.93% Total : 82.38% | 1-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.8% Total : 11.46% | 1-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.42% Total : 6.14% |
How you voted: Benfica vs Estoril
Benfica
93.5%Draw
6.5%Estoril Praia
0.0%31
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2023 6pm
Nov 9, 2022 8.45pm
