Europa League

Europa League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg

Mar 7, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
2 - 2
Rangers

(Benfica win 3-2 on aggregate)

di Maria (45+2' pen.), Goldson (67' og.)
di Maria (34'), Bah (72')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Lawrence (7'), Sterling (45+5')
Sterling (27'), Butland (45+2'), Yilmaz (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Benfica and Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Porto 5-0 Benfica
Sunday, March 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rangers

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Rangers 1-2 Motherwell
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Another closely-fought contest with plenty of goalmouth action could be on the cards between these two sides, who will be desperate to return to winning ways following disappointing domestic defeats last weekend. Taking into account Benfica's impressive Europa League home form and Rangers' record in Portugal, we can see an entertaining score draw played out in Lisbon to leave the tie finely poised ahead of next week's second leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 49.17%. A win for Rangers had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.73%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Rangers win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Rangers
49.17% ( -0.18)	22.13% ( 0.05)	28.7% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 64.96% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.12% (

-0.17)

34.88% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.14% (

-0.2)

56.85% (

0.2)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.39% (

-0.12)

14.61% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.29% (

-0.24)

42.71% (

0.24)

Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.07% (

-0.01)

23.93% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.85% (

-0.01)

58.15% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Benfica 49.17%

Rangers 28.7%

Draw 22.13%

Benfica	Draw	Rangers
2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.47% 3-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.45% Total : 49.17%	1-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.13%	1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.15% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 28.7%