Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 60.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 17.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.4%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 1-0 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.
Result | ||
Kilmarnock | Draw | Rangers |
17.19% ( 0.01) | 22.52% ( 0.01) | 60.29% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 48.26% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.2% ( -0.02) | 49.8% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.2% ( -0.02) | 71.8% ( 0.02) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.52% ( -0) | 42.48% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.15% ( -0) | 78.85% ( 0.01) |
Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.9% ( -0.01) | 16.11% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.49% ( -0.02) | 45.52% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock | Draw | Rangers |
1-0 @ 5.86% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.58% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.51% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.31% 3-2 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 1.74% Total : 17.19% | 1-1 @ 10.69% 0-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0) Other @ 0.8% Total : 22.51% | 0-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 11.4% 1-2 @ 9.77% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.94% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.94% ( -0) 0-4 @ 3.17% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.71% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.16% ( -0) 1-5 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 60.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 4 | 31 | 34 |
2 | Aberdeen | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
5 | Motherwell | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
7 | Dundee | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 15 |
8 | Ross County | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 12 |
11 | Hearts | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |