Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 56.36%. A draw has a probability of 23.2% and a win for Aberdeen has a probability of 20.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.01%), while for an Aberdeen win it is 0-1 (6.17%).
Result | ||
Kilmarnock | Draw | Aberdeen |
56.36% ( 0.47) | 23.17% ( -0.22) | 20.47% ( -0.25) |
Both teams to score 51.92% ( 0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.17% ( 0.6) | 47.83% ( -0.59) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.99% ( 0.55) | 70.01% ( -0.54) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.23% ( 0.38) | 16.77% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.29% ( 0.68) | 46.72% ( -0.67) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.38% ( 0.09) | 37.62% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.6% ( 0.08) | 74.4% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock | Draw | Aberdeen |
1-0 @ 11.26% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.06% Total : 56.35% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.17% | 0-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.6% Total : 20.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 28 |
2 | Aberdeen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 28 |
3 | RangersRangers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
5 | Motherwell | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Dundee | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 12 |
7 | St Mirren | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |