Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 10

Oct 29, 2023 at 12pm UK

Rugby Park

Kilmarnock
2 - 0
Aberdeen

Vassell (45+5'), Watkins (64')
Lyons (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gartenmann (45+1'), Shinnie (45+3'), Sokler (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Kilmarnock 3-1 Livingston
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Aberdeen

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Aberdeen 2-3 PAOK
Thursday, October 26 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Kilmarnock 2-1 Aberdeen

Aberdeen will head into this game with less rest than their opponents, and that could prove to be their downfall in what is likely going to be a close game. Kilmarnock have been strong at home throughout this campaign, and that is something that should help them pick up another three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 46.39%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	Aberdeen
46.39% ( -0.21)	24.82% ( 0.03)	28.79% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 55.52% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.67% (

-0.01)

47.33% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.45% (

-0.02)

69.55% (

0.01)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.54% (

-0.09)

20.46% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.07% (

-0.15)

52.93% (

0.15)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.8% (

0.12)

30.2% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.64% (

0.15)

66.36% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 46.39%

Aberdeen 28.79%

Draw 24.81%

Kilmarnock	Draw	Aberdeen
1-0 @ 9.8% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 46.39%	1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.81%	0-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.14% Total : 28.79%