Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
We said: Kilmarnock 2-1 Ross County
While there is not much to split these two teams in the league table it is Kilmarnock who have kickstarted the campaign stronger, and that should lead to them taking all three points this weekend.
The poor defensive record of Ross County coupled with the fact that Killie have the home advantage could prove to be crucial in this one.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 43.29% . A win for Ross County had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.9% .
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.57%) . The likeliest Ross County win was 0-1 (8.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%) . The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood .
Result Kilmarnock Draw Ross County 43.29% ( -1.02) 25.91% ( 0.26) 30.79% ( 0.76)
Both teams to score 53.09% ( -0.47)
48.99% ( -0.79) 51.01% ( 0.79)
27.13% ( -0.69) 72.87% ( 0.69)
76.57% ( -0.83) 23.43% ( 0.83)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 42.57% ( -1.22) 57.43% ( 1.22)
69.34% ( 0.13) 30.66% ( -0.13)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 33.09% ( 0.16) 66.91% ( -0.16)
Kilmarnock 43.29%
Ross County 30.79%
Draw 25.91%
Kilmarnock Draw Ross County 1-0 @ 10.42% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.99% Total : 43.29% 1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.91% 0-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.07% Total : 30.79%
How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Ross County
Kilmarnock
Draw
Ross County
8
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-24 10:01:04
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