Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 3
Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Fir Park
Motherwell2 - 1Kilmarnock
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: St Mirren 1-0 Motherwell
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-0 Celtic
Sunday, August 20 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Sunday, August 20 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
We said: Motherwell 0-2 Kilmarnock
While Motherwell are undefeated so far in the Scottish Premiership, this weekend could prove to be a difficult test against a team in fantastic form. Kilmarnock have defeated some of the biggest teams in the division already and have put together some strong defensive displays that could give them an edge here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 46.43%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | Kilmarnock |
46.43% ( 0.03) | 26.29% ( -0.02) | 27.28% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.89% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
