Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 34

May 6, 2023 at 3pm UK

Fir Park

Motherwell
2 - 0
Kilmarnock

Spittal (4'), van Veen (90+1')
Goss (29'), Slattery (58')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Wright (42'), Doidge (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions

Last Game: Celtic 1-1 Motherwell
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: St Mirren 0-2 Kilmarnock
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Motherwell 1-1 Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock will enter this match off the back of an away win over St Mirren, but Motherwell impressively drew with Celtic last time out. The last two matches between the two sides have finished level, and we can see the points again being shared on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.

Result
Motherwell	Draw	Kilmarnock
46.37% ( 2.12)	25.5% ( -0.01)	28.13% ( -2.11)

Both teams to score 52.86% (

-1.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.4% (

-1.02)

50.6% (

1.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.49% (

-0.91)

72.51% (

0.91)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.18% (

0.54)

21.81% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.97% (

0.82)

55.03% (

-0.82)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.61% (

-2.06)

32.39% (

2.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.1% (

-2.39)

68.9% (

2.39)

Score Analysis

Motherwell 46.36%

Kilmarnock 28.13%

Draw 25.5%

Motherwell	Draw	Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.6) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.58) 3-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.36) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.16) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 46.36%	1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.5%	0-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.39) 0-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.34) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.31) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.23) Other @ 2.62% Total : 28.13%