Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 31

Apr 8, 2023 at 3pm UK

Pittodrie Stadium

Aberdeen
2 - 0
Kilmarnock

Lopes (1', 59')
Hayes (78')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Watson (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberdeen

All competitions

Last Game: St Johnstone 0-1 Aberdeen
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-1 Hearts
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Aberdeen 2-1 Kilmarnock

With both sides having enjoyed different levels of revivals in recent matches, this could prove to be a competitive encounter. However, Aberdeen are the justified favourites, and we feel that they should do enough to edge a closely-fought contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 61.28%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 16.73%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.38%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result
Aberdeen	Draw	Kilmarnock
61.28% ( 0.03)	21.99% ( 0)	16.73% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 48.95% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.61% (

-0.08)

48.39% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.47% (

-0.07)

70.53% (

0.07)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.7% (

-0.02)

15.3% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.98% (

-0.03)

44.02% (

0.03)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.79% (

-0.09)

42.21% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.38% (

-0.08)

78.62% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Aberdeen 61.28%

Kilmarnock 16.73%

Draw 21.98%

Aberdeen	Draw	Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 12.12% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 11.38% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.14% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.34% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.88% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 61.28%	1-1 @ 10.45% 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.84% Total : 21.98%	0-1 @ 5.57% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.4% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.73% Total : 16.73%