Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 28

Mar 4, 2023 at 6pm UK

Tannadice Park

Dundee Utd
1 - 3
Aberdeen

McGrath (73' pen.)
McMann (66'), Freeman (71')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lopes (56'), McCrorie (80'), Watkins (83')
Gorter (63'), McCrorie (77'), Watkins (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Dundee United and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundee United

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Ross County 4-0 Dundee Utd
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Aberdeen

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Aberdeen 1-0 Livingston
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Dundee United 1-0 Aberdeen

Dundee United owner Mark Ogren highlighted Goodwin's "knowledge of the league and opposition" as a key factor in his appointment - this insider information will never be more accurate than for Aberdeen's visit. Coupled with the new manager bounce and Aberdeen's dire away form, we are backing Goodwin to get one over his former employers this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Dundee United	Draw	Aberdeen
44.55% ( 1.17)	24.67% ( -0.29)	30.78% ( -0.88)

Both teams to score 57.2% (

0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.34% (

0.93)

45.66% (

-0.94)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.02% (

0.88)

67.98% (

-0.88)

Dundee United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.42% (

0.91)

20.58% (

-0.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.89% (

1.42)

53.11% (

-1.43)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.01% (

-0.12)

27.99% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.37% (

-0.15)

63.63% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Dundee United 44.55%

Aberdeen 30.78%

Draw 24.67%

Dundee United	Draw	Aberdeen
2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 9.11% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.76% Total : 44.55%	1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.23) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.67%	1-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.32) 0-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.8% Total : 30.78%