Scottish Cup | Fifth Round

Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK

Tannadice Park

Dundee Utd
0 - 1
Kilmarnock

McMann (30'), Ayina (35')
Ayina (78')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Vassell (55')
Stokes (52'), Lyons (56'), Doidge (73')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Cup clash between Dundee United and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundee United

All competitions

Scottish Cup

Last Game: Hearts 3-1 Dundee Utd
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Scottish Cup

Last Game: Livingston 3-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Dundee United 1-0 Kilmarnock

Only three points separates these two teams in the Scottish Premiership, which suggests there is not much to split the sides in this cup clash. However, Kilmarnock's abysmal form away from home this term makes us think Dundee United will edge this contest and seal their place in the next round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Kilmarnock in this match.

Result
Dundee United	Draw	Kilmarnock
34.69% ( -0.04)	25.19% ( -0.01)	40.12% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 56.82% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.25% (

0.04)

46.75% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.99% (

0.04)

69.01% (

-0.04)

Dundee United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.92% (

-0)

26.08% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.87% (

-0)

61.13% (

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.87% (

0.05)

23.13% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.01% (

0.06)

56.99% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Dundee United 34.69%

Kilmarnock 40.12%

Draw 25.18%

Dundee United	Draw	Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.57% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 3.32% Total : 34.69%	1-1 @ 11.86% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.18%	0-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.69% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.47% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.24% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.14% Total : 40.12%