Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Ross County had a probability of 33.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Ross County win was 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ross County | Draw | Kilmarnock |
33.87% ( 0.3) | 27.38% ( 0.09) | 38.75% ( -0.39) |
Both teams to score 49.49% ( -0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.94% ( -0.3) | 56.05% ( 0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.86% ( -0.25) | 77.13% ( 0.25) |
Ross County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.87% ( 0.05) | 31.13% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.54% ( 0.05) | 67.46% ( -0.05) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.87% ( -0.36) | 28.13% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.19% ( -0.46) | 63.81% ( 0.46) |
Score Analysis |
Ross County | Draw | Kilmarnock |
1-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.94% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 33.87% | 1-1 @ 12.96% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.38% | 0-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.22% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.85% Total : 38.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 4 | 31 | 34 |
2 | Aberdeen | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
5 | Motherwell | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
7 | Dundee | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 15 |
8 | Ross County | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 12 |
11 | Hearts | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |